| Week | Exec | Rej | Thesis |
|---|
| 2026-W35 | 5 | 1 | Sentiment has flipped to Greed (73, up from 41) with BTC momentum positive (+4.5% 7d), neutral funding, rising BTC dominance and a weakening ZAR (USDT +3.9% 7d) — all tailwinds for BTC in ZAR terms. Hyperliquid whales are heavily short, so I ladder maker bids into BTC rather than chase, take a small |
| 2026-W34 | 5 | 0 | Sentiment is fearful (F&G 31) with whales aggressively short and retail crowded long, but that extreme short positioning plus bearish retail mood is classic squeeze fuel, and BTC trades below estimated miner production cost (~$74k) which historically marks value zones. SOL shows the strongest ETF in |
| 2026-W33 | 4 | 0 | The market just posted a powerful weekly rally (BTC +23.8%, ETH +23.7%, SOL +12.9%) while Fear & Greed sits at only 30 and is climbing from 25 — a classic 'wall of worry' disbelief rally with room to run. Funding is positive but modest (no leveraged-long froth), top traders and Hyperliquid whales ar |
| 2026-W32 | 5 | 0 | After a +22-43% weekly rally across majors, momentum is stalling (-2% 24h) with Fear & Greed at 28, bearish X sentiment eyeing a $60-60.5k BTC retest, and Hyperliquid whales net short (ETH 0% long). I won't chase; instead I'll ladder post-only bids 3-7% below market in BTC plus smaller XRP/SOL dip b |
| 2026-W31 | 0 | 0 | No adapter configured |
| 2026-W30 | 4 | 0 | A sharp bear-market rally (+16-30% weekly on majors) is unfolding while Fear & Greed sits at 26 and Hyperliquid whales are aggressively short (ETH 0% long, BTC/SOL net short) against crowded retail longs — a classic late-bounce divergence. I respect the momentum and low funding, but refuse to chase |